New PDF release: Analysis of Global Change Assessments: Lessons Learned

By National Research Council, Division on Earth and Life Studies, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Committee on Analysis of Global Change Assessments

ISBN-10: 0309104858

ISBN-13: 9780309104852

ISBN-10: 0309105455

ISBN-13: 9780309105453

Worldwide switch exams tell determination makers concerning the clinical underpinnings of a number of environmental concerns, akin to weather switch, stratospheric ozone depletion, and lack of biodiversity. Dozens of exams were carried out so far by means of a number of U.S. and foreign teams, lots of them influencing public regulations, expertise improvement, and examine instructions. This document analyzes strengths and weaknesses of 8 earlier exams to notify destiny efforts. universal parts of powerful tests comprise robust management, vast engagement with and affected events, a clear science-policy interface, and good outlined verbal exchange innovations. The document identifies eleven crucial parts of powerful checks and recommends that destiny tests contain choice help instruments that utilize info on the neighborhood and native point the place judgements are made.

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The exception may be when the response strategy is confined to technological choices within a sector that have few impacts outside that sector. In fact, because response assessments focus on reducing human drivers of the environmental change or on ways to mitigate their impact, there is a logical coupling between these and process assessments, mediated by scenarios (of emissions or of other anthropogenic perturbations) or models that can be used to drive projections of future environmental change in the process assessments.

Therefore, assessments cannot be evaluated according to the same criteria as either the process of democratic policy making or science (Clark and Majone 1985). Second, as mentioned in the definition, an assessment is a social, deliberative process and not merely an exercise of transcription or deduction. Rather, it involves synthesis directed toward a goal of supporting decisions, and its character is in many ways driven by the interaction of the state of scientific knowledge with the societal need for decision-relevant information.

HISTORY OF CLIMATE CHANGE ASSESSMENTS AND POLICY IN THE UNITED STATES Early History In the United States, the first concerns about the ramifications of continued greenhouse gases can be traced to the late 1950s. In 1957, Roger Revelle, Scripps Institute of Oceanography, and Hans Suess, University of Chicago, suggested that the burning of fossil fuels would lead to significant increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations and that humans were engaged in a “large-scale geophysical experiment” with longterm consequences (Revelle and Suess 1957).

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Analysis of Global Change Assessments: Lessons Learned by National Research Council, Division on Earth and Life Studies, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Committee on Analysis of Global Change Assessments


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